The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Despite one peace talk following another, DRC Pres. Tshisekedi keeps fueling the conflict to justify the postponement of the December 2023 elections. While Kinshasa directs the international community's focus exclusively on the allegedly Rwandan-backed M23, there are more than 400 other rebel groups in eastern Congo. As long as Kinshasa blames Rwanda for its security issues, it will be challenging for the international community to provide the required support needed to end this conflict.

Establishment-critical narrative

While the East African community and Kinshasa are constantly engaged in new efforts to finally end the conflict in eastern DRC, the West — which usually never tires of pretending to be committed to world peace — is obviously not very interested in this particular conflict. It's high time for the so-called international community to abandon its double standards and put credible pressure on Rwanda as well as Uganda to end their support for rebel groups operating in resource-rich eastern Congo.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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