Iran Threatens No Nuclear Deal If IAEA Inquiry Continues

Image copyright: Iranian Presidency Office/AP [via The Washington Post]

The Spin

Democratic narrative

We only reached this point of instability because of the damage Trump caused by pulling the US out of the 2015 nuclear deal. Biden is doing what he can to repair these diplomatic ties, and is dealing from a diminished position because of Iran's accomplishments in the years since the deal was scrapped.

Republican narrative

This is a chance for Biden to avoid a terrible new nuclear deal with Iran. A fresh agreement would allow Iran to continue funding terrorism, as well as benefit Putin because of carveouts for his country's energy projects with Tehran. A new deal would be a disaster.

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


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