Report: US Intelligence Says Ukrainians Behind Dugina Killing

Image copyright: Getty Images/AFP [via New York Times]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The war in Ukraine may become even more dangerous if some within the Ukrainian government make attacks like this. The US and international community have tried carefully to prevent unnecessary escalations between Kyiv and Moscow - but the lack of transparency of Ukraine with regards to its military is frustrating. The West and US deeply support Ukraine, but all parties must walk in lockstep on this geopolitical tightrope.

Establishment-critical narrative

It's hard to believe that the US and its allies were unaware of Ukraine's plans. While the New York Times report exposes Ukraine's covert actions and bolsters transparency, it's likely just a red herring to distance Washington from taking responsibility for similar future schemes against Russia.

Metaculus Prediction


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