UK: Sunak and Truss to Battle for Tory Leadership

    Image copyright: PA Media [via BBC]

    The Spin

    Left narrative

    The Tories' much famed 'leveling-up' agenda is conspicuously absent from the current leadership contest. There is a jarring dissonance between the rise in child poverty and the focus on tax cuts and economic reform promised by all prime ministerial candidates. The Conservatives must do more to reduce inequality.

    Right narrative

    Truss is likely to at least start out with significantly more grassroots support than Sunak, not only because of her relative loyalty to Johnson but because of her commitment to rapidly cutting taxes. Sunak's pledge to keep taxation and public spending high is too much of an ideological diversion from true Conservative politics.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    Although the electorate in the final round of voting will be much larger than the 357 Tory MPs entitled to decide on potential candidates so far, it's in no way representative of the UK. As of 2017, 71% of party members were men and their average age was 57. They were also much more likely to live in London and the South of England than in other parts of the nation. The competition is not a truly democratic process.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Public Figures


    Go Deeper


    Political split

    LEFT

    RIGHT

    More neutral political stance articles

    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

    Sign Up!
    Sign Up Now!