US Dollar Hits One-Month High, Fed Hints at More Rate Hikes

Image copyright: Reuters [via Nasdaq]

The Spin

Narrative A

Fed policies take time to be felt in the broader economy, so the central bank should be cautious when deciding its next move. With inflation already easing last month, we should wait to see how the previous rate hikes affect it before adding even more.

Narrative B

The one-month slowing of inflation in July doesn't prove any meaningful cooling of the economy, so the Fed should continue its significant rate hikes in the coming months. Only if you believe inflation will rapidly decline in the near term would you want the Fed to pull back the reins, and that scenario is very unlikely.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.2