Bank of England Raises Interest Rates to 14-Year High

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Though interest rates have been raised again — and output in Britain is still expected to shrink this year — prospects for the British economy are much better than in the immediate aftermath of Liz Truss's premiership. This measure may be seen as overprotective, but the UK's central bank deserves credit as it has been exceeding expectations while dealing with multiple shocks. Previous fears of a "Great Recession 2.0" should be replaced with hope.

Establishment-critical narrative

The Ukraine war, pandemic, supply chain chaos, and labor shortages have not helped Britain's economy over the past years, but it's inconceivable that the BoE still refuses to take responsibility for its own mistakes. The inflationary spiral affecting the UK was created much earlier than these shocks because interest rates were kept close to zero for too long. Central planners should be honest with the public when their mistakes lead to life-altering cost-of-living crises.

Metaculus Prediction


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