Brazil: Amazon Deforestation Drops Sharply in 2023

Image copyright: Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Narrative A

After four years of rising destruction in Brazil’s Amazon rainforest, action against deforestation has finally taken effect under Lula. This is good news for everyone, given that two-thirds of the world's rainforests are located in Brazil — covering an area twice the size of India. The Amazon's future is integral to humanity, holding tremendous stores of carbon and serving as a crucial buffer against climate change.

Narrative B

If Lula is to fulfill his green promises, he needs to stop showing loyalty to the state oil company and agribusiness. Oil and agriculture are increasingly important for the country, and lobbyists command sizeable power in both houses of Congress. Part of the agriculture sector’s expansion happened under Lula’s first two administrations as trade with China continues to accelerate. There are concerning entanglements here.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!