Day 355: Russia Claims Gains Along Ukraine Frontline

Image copyright: AP Photos [via The Washington Post]

The Facts

  • Russia's defense ministry said on Monday that its troops had managed to advance a few kilometers west in four days of fighting, without specifying where the advances were made. The claim couldn't be independently confirmed.

  • Meanwhile, Ukraine's military made no mention of any Russian advances but reported heavy shelling along the frontline on Monday — including the Donetsk city of Bakhmut where fighting remains the heaviest.

  • One such attack was reported in the Kherson region, reportedly striking the production facilities of a local business and killing one civilian. Russian attacks in Kherson also damaged railway infrastructure in the region.


The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

Russia's inability to take the Donetsk city of Bakhmut is symbolic of its wider deficiencies that will prevent it from conducting further successful offensives in Ukraine.


Pro-Russia narrative

Russian forces continue to make advances in the Donetsk. It's only a matter of time before they take the city of Bakhmut and the remainder of the Donetsk region.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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