Estonia's Pro-Ukraine PM Kaja Kallas Wins Election

Image copyright: AFP/Getty Images [via The Wall Street Journal]

The Spin

Narrative A

This electoral result is a huge defeat to the Kremlin and Russophiles, as Estonians have decided to extend and reinforce the mandate of PM Kallas and her Reform Party on a platform stressing support for the Ukrainian resistance in the face of Russian aggression. Estonia will continue to be among the staunchest allies of Kyiv and carry on pushing its NATO and EU allies to deepen assistance for Ukraine and isolate Russia.

Narrative B

The ruling Reform Party exploited the e-vote system to rig this national election, and its results should not be internationally recognized until online logs and sections of code have been disclosed and scrutinized. If allowed to remain in government, Kallas will lead an administration into continuing to give away all Estonian heavy weaponry to Ukraine at the cost of the nation's own security.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!