Germany's Defense Minister Resigns

Image copyright: Reuters [via Al Jazeera]

The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

Lambrecht was evidently the wrong person for the job. She did not take the Ukraine war seriously enough and used a helicopter for personal use. Now that she has resigned, Chancellor Scholz may appoint a qualified minister that will help to revert decades of neglect for the German armed forces.


Establishment-critical narrative

While Lambrecht has reportedly committed several gaffes during her term in the Scholz government, the main reason she came under fire was her hesitancy to ramp up defense aid to Ukraine as Berlin faces pressure from other NATO allies. Lambrecht was simply under immense political pressure from this simmering geopolitical conflict.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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