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Democracy NowAPR 3 2023
The surprising success of Arévalo in the first round reflects the resounding backlash from the Guatemalan nation to a political establishment that has promoted ignominious interventions and vile plans in efforts to maintain power. The political class cannot manipulate the voting public anymore — the people want disruption within the system.
It was known well before Election Day that Guatemala's establishment would not allow any candidate threatening the interests of the country's corrupt political elite to run for president — the fact that Arévalo advanced to the second round must be considered with skepticism rather than optimism. It is very likely that either he is not a threat to the status quo, or that he will be prevented from taking office.