Indonesia: Volcanic Eruption Kills 11 Hikers

Indonesia: Volcanic Eruption Kills 11 Hikers
Image copyright: Ulet Ifansasti/Getty Images

The Spin


Narrative A

Mount Marapi is one of more than 125 active volcanoes in Indonesia, which is prone to seismic upheaval as it sits on the Pacific's "Ring of Fire" — an arc of volcanoes and fault lines encircling the Pacific Basin. With the threat of disaster a constant presence, the government is committed to investment in the preparation for and monitoring of such calamities.


Narrative B

Volcanic eruptions are contributing to the reduction of average global surface temperatures. Therefore, instead of viewing them as disasters, we need to understand the natural occurance of volcanic eruption in the broader context of climate change. Of course any fatalities resulting from volcanic activity are tragic, but they are also avoidable, whereas eruptions are inevitable and are aiding the mitigation of a greater climate threat to humanity.


Metaculus Prediction


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