Mali: Russia Vetoes UN Resolution to Extend Sanctions

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The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia and the Wagner Group continue to fill the vacuum left by former colonial powers, taking advantage of the rising instability in various regions of Africa. This can be witnessed in Mali, Chad, Guinea, Burkina Faso, Chad, and even potentially Gabon after its latest coup. The free world must react quicker to reduce this growing influence or face potentially world-changing consequences in the future.

Pro-Russia narrative

The reality is that Russian security personnel have done more for Mali in the fight against jihadist insurgencies than the French or the UN ever have. Furthermore, the current pandemonium within the Sahel is a direct consequence of Western intervention in Libya via NATO. If the Security Council is to have any impact, a compromise and consideration of Mali's own interests must be prioritized over Western ideology.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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