New Poll Shows Trump Winning 5 Battleground States

New Poll Shows Trump Winning 5 Battleground States
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The Spin

Democratic narrative

We're a year from the 2024 election and by almost every economic measure the US is making economic gains and successfully emerging from the COVID era. If voters aren’t feeling the financial benefits and are in turn blaming Biden, then the president and his campaign have a year to rally voters to a strong electoral victory. Plus, polls are also showing that Trump's morass of legal woes could swing polls strongly in Biden's favor if the former president is convicted.

Pro-Trump narrative

There’s no way for Democrats or the Biden administration to sugarcoat this — the US has serious issues and there is global chaos on Biden’s watch. Biden’s "big government" tendencies and ineffective policies have caused this and show no signs of getting better. A return of the Trump administration is the only way out.

Metaculus Prediction


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