Pakistan: General Elections to Be Held Without Delay

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The Spin

Narrative A

After striking an urgent bailout with the International Monetary Fund that relieved its economic woe, Pakistan needs a free and fair election to resolve its crisis and end the years-long political turmoil. Only a legitimate government can lead the nation through these troubled times, undertaking significant reforms and resisting the potential backlash from austerity measures.

Narrative B

A credible, elected government is undoubtedly necessary to salvage the country, but more is needed to bring political stability while the economy remains on the brink of collapse. Unless rival parties come together to cool the political temperature, it's unlikely that the country will be able to avoid sleepwalking into anarchy.

Metaculus Prediction


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