Russia Says DNA Tests Confirm Prigozhin's Death

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The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

The Wagner boss had a history of disappearing only to then reappear, so it's possible Prigozhin and Moscow have faked his death. However, even if the rebel didn't escape the crash, it's foolhardy to believe that any evidence will ever emerge to conclude that Putin's fingerprints are all over this incident.

Pro-Russia narrative

Though Prigozhin was a traitor, Putin offered him an exit to Belarus. After his death, the Russian president praised him for his talent and bravery. Unfortunately, the West is spreading conspiracy theories about the victims of a plane crash — which was likely a result of technical failure, human error, or safety regulation violations.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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