Russia Strikes Port Facilities in Odesa Ahead of Putin-Erdogan Talks

Image copyright: Russian Presidential Executive Office via Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia's reasons for leaving the grain deal is that Western countries have not moved to lift the sanctions off of Russian grain and fertilizer exports as was initially agreed to when the deal was first struck. Russia has seen no promising signs that these promises would be fulfilled but remains open to reviving the deal if the export issue is resolved.

Pro-establishment narrative

Despite Russia's claims, Western countries have provided Russia with a comprehensive guide of how a series of exemptions had been issued on the country's grain and fertilizer exports. Russia is using the stoppage of the deal to seek more concessions.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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