The Spin

Narrative A

This unacceptable aggression carried out by Rwanda against a Congolese warplane flying inside the DRC territory adds context to a ground offensive launched earlier on Tuesday and immediately repelled by the DRC. As Rwanda joins forces with the M23 to undermine regional stability, all means will be used to protect the DRC's territorial integrity.

Narrative B

Rwanda had no other choice than to take the necessary defensive measures after a Congolese fighter jet violated its airspace for the third time in three months. It's about time for the DRC to halt this continuous aggression and blatant provocation and end hostilities.

Metaculus Prediction


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