The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The RSF attacks on Wad Medani underline that it is the rebels commanded by Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo who continue to escalate the conflict while claiming to be fighting for the Sudanese people. The recent RSF attacks, which have forced thousands of refugees to flee again, undermine the ongoing US-led peace talks and the hope for a negotiated end to the senseless conflict. The RSF must stop its offensive immediately and return to the negotiating table. However difficult the talks between both parties may be, the US will not tire of standing up for the suffering people of Sudan.

Establishment-critical narrative

The Western-dominated international media landscape distorts reality when it unilaterally blames the RSF for the escalation of the terrible war in Sudan. The Sudanese army is also committing atrocities, while its leader and de facto head of state, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, repeatedly prevents a ceasefire and shows no ability to compromise. It is the Sudanese people who must pay the price for the deadlock and thirst for power of both sides. The international community must also put pressure on al-Burhan to restore hope for lasting peace in the country.

Narrative C

All too often, the war in Sudan — in which over 12K people have been killed — is portrayed as merely an internal conflict between two military rivals. However, as with many other international conflicts, there is a geopolitical component to this conflict that is being ignored. For example, the UAE is allegedly involved in shipping weapons to the RSF, and the Sudanese army also relies on weapons and money from abroad. It is also foreign interests that are preventing peace in the country and contributing to the suffering of the population.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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