Taiwan: Opposition Parties Unite for January Election

Taiwan: Opposition Parties Unite for January Election
Image copyright: Alex Wong/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

This unprecedented blue-white coalition may have a crucial role in reducing cross-strait tensions and preventing a conflict that would be in the interest of neither Washington nor Beijing. It's certain that such a government could be fractious due to contrasting economic and political platforms, but, at least there would be peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait — a prospect that isn't likely under Lai.

Narrative B

If Taiwanese voters were to elect this Beijing-backed, power-grabbing, unprincipled coalition, the nation would again be forced to rely on Chinese goodwill instead of deepening its integration into the international community. It's clear that Lai is the best option for Taiwan, as he is the only candidate who has presented a plan to manage the country and proposed a vision of the government.

Metaculus Prediction


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