Top US Official Visits Niger to Meet Coup Leaders

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Nuland's visit is a signal of solidarity with the democratically elected government and underscores Niger's significance to US efforts to combat Islamist extremism in Africa. While military intervention could trigger an incalculably bloody conflict, ECOWAS and the US are well advised to intensify their efforts to find a diplomatic solution. Moreover, the West African bloc's financial sanctions demonstrate that military coups have no future in 21st-century Africa. Releasing Bazoum would be a great first step toward de-escalating the situation.

Establishment-critical narrative

While the US talks of returning Niger to democracy and the rule of law, its primary concern is protecting its own interests. Not only is Bazoum a close ally of the US and France, but Washington has stationed more than a thousand troops in uranium-rich Niger, where it also maintains a large drone base as part of its counterterrorism paradigm. Instead of blaming Niger, the world should be investigating how nearly 12 West African coups since 2008 have been instigated by US-trained military leaders, including those who Nuland just met with.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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