UK inflation could hit 18 percent next year: Citi forecasts
Al JazeeraAPR 2022
The Spin
Narrative A
A fall in the inflation rate is long overdue and will be welcomed by consumers. As food prices come down, albeit slowly, the UK will do well to avoid new regulatory burdens and limit the cost impact of new policies. What the government could do, however, is investigate whether the nation's largest grocers, as has been the case in the past, have artificially bumped up prices under the guise of the inflation crisis.
Narrative B
While the inflation rate slow-down is a sigh of relief, the reality is that "core inflation" — which strips away volatile sectors from the calculation — still rose in April. With food prices continuing to soar, pressure is bound to mount on the Bank of England as the UK still has a long way to go to lower inflation back to 2%. While the pain from interest rate hikes will continue, the Bank has a vital role to play until it achieves normal rates again.