Ukraine Claims to Retake Black Sea Drilling Rigs from Russia

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The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

This well-executed operation wasn't just unique, but had extremely significant consequences for Ukraine. These platforms control valuable hydrocarbon resources and can be used as forward deployment bases, helipads, and potential sites for long-range missile systems.

Pro-Russia narrative

In a late-August attempt to shuttle Ukrainian forces in positions near Crimea, Russia's Black Sea Fleet destroyed four high-speed military boats and killed as many as 50 men. Ukraine's claims that it recaptured Black Sea drilling platforms from Russia are fabricated.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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