Wagner Boss Presumed Dead in Russian Plane Crash

Image copyright: Kremlin Press Office [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

The cause of this fatal crash is yet to be determined. Law enforcement officers are on the scene and an official investigation has been launched. Beyond that, not much can — or should — be stated, other than Yevgevny Prigozhin is believed to be among the 10 killed in the crash.

Anti-Russia narrative

The Russian state had plenty of reasons to take out Yevgevny Prigozhin, least of all after his failed uprising that embarrassed Russia. While the details of this crash are not fully confirmed, it would be unsurprising if it was, in fact, a deliberate sabotage.

Metaculus Prediction


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