Over 300 Deadly Virus Samples Missing From Australian Lab

Above: A pharmacist preps a COVID vaccine. Image copyright: Steven Cornfield via Unsplash

The Spin

Narrative A

The breach represents a critical biosecurity lapse with potentially severe consequences, as these pathogens have fatality rates up to 100 times higher than COVID. Given the high risk to animals and livestock from all three viruses, the government needs to invest more in pathogen biosecurity and ensure greater transparency so such lapses are avoided in the future.

Narrative B

The three pathogens can have very high fatality rates, but the risk to public safety remains minimal as they have limited capacity for person-to-person transmission, and there's no evidence of theft. Additionally, the viruses involved would quickly lose their ability to infect outside proper storage conditions. Queensland Health should be applauded for its thorough investigation.

Metaculus Prediction


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