Algeria: Pres. Tebboune Wins Second Term

Algeria: Pres. Tebboune Wins Second Term
Above: President of Algeria Abdelmadjid Tebboune arrives at Borgo Egnazia on day two of the 50th G7 summit, on June 14, 2024 in Fasano, Italy. Image copyright: Antonio Masiello/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Tebboune's re-election promises stability for Algeria, allowing the government to address deeper issues. His increased popular support, bolstered by expanded social spending from oil and gas revenues, suggests a mandate for continuity. The backing of major political parties, unions, and the security apparatus ensures a strong foundation for governance. Tebboune's experience and established relationships within the system position him to navigate Algeria's complex political landscape and initiate much-needed reforms.

Narrative B

Algerian democracy has become largely performative, with Tebboune's re-election revealing the system's true nature. The election, hastily moved to September, was a sham as his victory was guaranteed by military backing. Opposition candidates are little more than window dressing in a political landscape marked by repression, economic stagnation, and mass disillusionment. As Algerians increasingly turn away from a system that betrays them, the dream of genuine democracy remains distant.

Metaculus Prediction


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