Colombia Suspends Peace Talks With ELN Guerrillas After Attack on Army Base

Colombia Suspends Peace Talks With ELN Guerrillas After Attack on Army Base
Above: Soldiers stand guard as an ambulance transports a soldier injured in an attack attributed to ELN guerrillas in Arauca, Colombia, on September 17, 2024. Image copyright: Joaquin Sarmiento/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

Unlike past peace processes, Petro's ambitious Total Peace sought to finally bring the country's decades-long armed conflict to an end, ensuring that guerrillas would not be persecuted once demobilized and disarmed. That talks with the ELN have now been called off doesn't discredit the plan, as there has been success in talks with other groups.

Right narrative

Total Peace was always a failure waiting to happen, as there were no incentives to stop armed groups continuing to expand their territorial control. It's certain that Bogotá did sign cease-fires with some guerrilla groups, but the truth is that violence has risen under Petro.

Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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