Ecuadorians Approve Security-Focused Referendum

Ecuadorians Approve Security-Focused Referendum
Image copyright: Franklin Jacome/Agencia Press South/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

As Ecuador faces an unprecedented security crisis, with drug lords exerting control over prisons as well as influencing the media, political sphere, and judiciary system, there's no other way than to apply the Bukele alternative — which Ecuadorians badly want. This vote has demonstrated their broad support for tough-on-crime measures.

Narrative B

With this referendum, Noboa has sought to get public support to replicate in Ecuador what Nayib Bukele did in El Salvador as if this anti-crime strategy was a magic solution. However, the effectiveness of so-called Bukelism is nothing but a myth that authoritarians have promoted to undermine democracy and the rule of law in their own countries.

Metaculus Prediction


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