Haiti: Gang Leader Demands Role in Peace Talks

Haiti: Gang Leader Demands Role in Peace Talks
Image copyright: Giles Clarke/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

More than just powerful gangsters, Chérizier and his allies are armed insurgents that have threatened civil war and genocide unless their political goals are met. Given that Haiti is a failed state and its government has lost authority, only an international military intervention to neutralize enemy combatants can restore order in the volatile Caribbean nation.

Establishment-critical narrative

Though Chérizier represents the very armed gangs that are to blame for the chaos in Haiti, his words against foreign troops in the country reflect the view of ordinary Haitians. The country has a long and ugly history of international intervention that ended in failure and made life even worse.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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