ICC Prosecutor Seeks Arrest Warrant for Myanmar's Military Chief

ICC Prosecutor Seeks Arrest Warrant for Myanmar's Military Chief
Above: Min Aung Hlaing arrives to deliver a speech during a ceremony to mark the country's Armed Forces Day in Naypyidaw on March 27, 2024. Image copyright: STR/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The ICC's action represents a crucial step toward justice and accountability for the Rohingya people, demonstrating that military leaders aren't beyond the reach of international law. This decision sends a strong message to the world that these crimes haven't been forgotten and can potentially help end the impunity Myanmar's junta has enjoyed.

Narrative B

Hundreds of thousands of Rohingya fled Myanmar due to a campaign launched against Rohingya militants, not against civilians. There's no concrete evidence to suggest Hlaing ordered the deportation of Rohingyas to Bangladesh. Instead of helping the Junta in its peace efforts, the ICC has brought forward frivolous charges that will destabilize the country.

Metaculus Prediction


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