Israeli Forces Move Into Gaza City Amid Indirect Cease-fire Negotiations

Israeli Forces Move Into Gaza City Amid Indirect Cease-fire Negotiations
Above: Smoke rises over the Gaza Strip after an Israeli bombardment as seen from a position on the Israeli side of the border on July 3, 2024 in Southern Israel, Israel. Image copyright: Amir Levy/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

A guaranteed end to the war will ensure increased humanitarian aid to the besieged enclave, preserve Israel's security, and create a better "day after" in Gaza without Hamas in power. The US will continue to work toward closing the gaps and ensuring that peace and stability can be restored to the region.

Pro-Israel narrative

Israel has overcome many obstacles in this war, but there are still plenty of challenges. Though Hamas has been seriously degraded, its leadership is still largely intact and hostages are still being held in Gaza. Military pressure has forced Hamas to make concessions and driven a wedge between Yahya Sinwar and the group's external leadership. Israel can only accept a deal that accomplishes its war goals.

Metaculus Prediction

Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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