Japan’s ruling party to pick new leader, successor to PM Kishida next month
Al JazeeraAUG 2024
Japan: Former Defense Minister Announces Bid to Succeed PM
Above: Former Japanese Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba attends the Ueda Bankinten x Kengo Kuma & Associates 'Mokuan' Project Press Conference at National Stadium on June 21, 2022 in Tokyo, Japan. Image copyright: Jun Sato/Contributor/WireImage via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
Ishiba is a well-experienced and respected politician who enjoys popular support to become prime minister and has what it takes to rein in party factions involved in scandals and ensure that the LDP will abide by the rules. After 38 years in politics and four unsuccessful runs for party leadership, it's time for Ishiba to take the position.
Narrative B
Ishiba may be popular in Japan, particularly with grassroots party members and media, but he has very little hope of winning this internal election, as conservative factions despise him for his past attacks on Shinzo Abe. Given the weight of lawmakers in this process, the best he will be able to achieve is a repeat of 2012 — defeat in a runoff vote.