Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger Withdraw From ECOWAS

Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger Withdraw From ECOWAS
Image copyright: Denis Doyle/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This ill-considered move by these three countries demonstrates their preference for populist measures over a return to the rule of law. Although they have the right to criticize France and other colonial powers, their hypocritical turn to Russia as an ally is putting the region and world at greater risk.

Establishment-critical narrative

It's ECOWAS's fault these countries have made this decision. ECOWAS has failed to fulfill its founding mandate and find diplomatic solutions to a multitude of existing regional problems. Instead, the organization has turned into a tool of foreign interests to reinstate "democratic" puppet governments that fail at combating Islamist threats.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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