Meta: Only 'Modest' AI Impact on World Elections

Meta: Only 'Modest' AI Impact on World Elections
Above: The Meta Platforms, Inc. logo appears on the screen of a smartphone in Reno, US, on Dec. 2, 2024.  Image copyright: Jaque Silva/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The world’s democratic elections in 2024 were overshadowed by dire warnings of AI-driven interference, from deepfakes to microtargeted manipulation. Evidently, these fears were exaggerated. While AI’s misuse warrants vigilance, the obsession with its alleged dangers risks overshadowing other, far deeper threats to democracy.

Narrative B

While AI's impact on recent elections may have been limited, its growing use — ranging from deceptive deepfakes to creative campaign tools — underscores a need for vigilance. Policymakers must safeguard systems without stifling legitimate expression. Transparency, rapid responses, and robust oversight are key, and complacency is not an option.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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