NKorea Fires Artillery Barrage Toward Border Islands in the South

Image copyright: UNC - CFC - USFK via Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Pro-North Korea narrative

South Korea's dangerous behavior will only end in pain for the American proxy state if it continues on its current reckless trajectory. Pyongyang rejects the oppressive regimes of the US, Japan, Seoul, and all others who desperately seek to raise tensions. Unless there is a clear change in direction, these aggressors will see consequences in the new year.

Anti-North Korea narrative

While North Korea wishes to flex its military potential and threaten war with bombastic rhetoric, it's best not for Pyongyang to push this too far. Its current rate of military drills will be near-impossible to sustain, and the North is well known to suffer extreme economic hardship. Dangerous propaganda and military activity are merely a mask for a fragile and vulnerable nation.

Metaculus Prediction


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