North Korea Attacks South Korea With Trash-Filled Balloons

North Korea Attacks South Korea With Trash-Filled Balloons
Above: Balloons carrying anti-North Korea leaflets are released by North Korean defectors, now living on South Korea on February 16, 2013 in Paju, South Korea. Image copyright: Chung Sung-Jun/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-North Korea narrative

The ridiculousness of the waste-filled balloons aside, Pyongyang's potential to integrate balloons with modern warfare tactics is quite high. They offer advantages in intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, operating at altitudes and capabilities for wide-area monitoring. Historically used for propaganda and other purposes, balloons are cost-effective tools in the modern geostrategic environment and the North's actions must be closely monitored.

Pro-North Korea narrative

For some time now, South Korean activists have been sending anti-Kim Jong-un pamphlets into North Korea via balloons, despite a ban. While they also send balloons carrying vitamins and painkillers, propaganda is a key motive — especially against North Korea’s nuclear program. South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol’s government is supportive of such activists. The North is now answering them with both proportionality and wit.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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