Trump and Biden neck and neck nationally and in battlegrounds — CBS News poll
CBSJun 20
Poll: Biden Leads Trump for First Time in a Month
Image copyright: Scott Olson/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Facts
According to the latest Morning Consult poll, US Pres. Joe Biden has a one-point lead over his presumptive Republican challenger, former Pres. Donald Trump, in the 2024 presidential race at 44% to 43%.
This is the first such result since early May in the weekly-updated tracker, as Trump's net favorability rating has been lower than Biden's for the sixth week in a row — and hit its worst level since late January.
The Spin
Democratic narrative
The guilty verdict in the Manhattan hush money trial has already taken its political toll on Donald Trump as some voters were quick to reconsider their support for the criminally convicted former president. With both candidates locked in a tight race for the White House, this modest shift toward Biden may prove pivotal for his victory.
Republican narrative
The Democratic lawfare campaign against Trump in a bid to prevent his return to the White House has backfired. First, the indictments bolstered support for the former president in GOP primaries. Now, hopes that a guilty verdict in the New York trial would help Biden in the race waned as support for Trump has grown stronger even in deep blue Virginia.