Republic of Georgia Approves Contentious LGBTQ+ Legislation

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This law is yet another Kremlin-style repressive initiative aimed at imposing discriminatory restrictions on Georgia's LGBTQ+ community. By modeling legislation on its autocratic eastern neighbor's anti-West rhetoric, the government is backsliding on human rights. It's a shame that the Georgian Dream party is exploiting anti-LGBTQ+ attitudes to boost conservative support before the elections instead of building an equal and accepting society.

Establishment-critical narrative

This law isn't making Georgia "more Russian." The country's constitution bans same-sex marriage. The government is just following the same premises and introducing initiatives necessary to combat the West's LGBTQ+ propaganda, safeguard its traditional standards, and strengthen family values. The government can't prioritize EU membership over Georgia's best interests.

Narrative C

The opposition boycotting Tuesday's vote underscores Georgia's dramatically polarized political landscape. Though a Georgian Dream loss in October may not guarantee the bill is rolled back simply because the country isn't overtly supportive of LGBTQ+ rights, the only way to take a stand in a region beset by state and religious homophobia is for the community to go in great numbers to the elections and vote for change.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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