Republic of Georgia's Ruling Party Claims Election Victory

Republic of Georgia's Ruling Party Claims Election Victory
Above: Georgian Dream Party supporters celebrate the exit poll results outside the new Georgian Dream headquarters on Oct. 26, 2024, in Tbilisi, Georgia. Image copyright: Diego Fedele/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The opposition should feel disappointment that Georgian Dream may emerge as the winner. However, given the election violations reported, and the fact that the party is unlikely to secure a constitutional majority, the opposition must celebrate its own survival.

Establishment-critical narrative

Western powers sought to interfere in this election but to no avail. The people of Georgia delivered a decisive message of support and a clear mandate for a party that supports conservative values and, contrary to the smear campaigns, integration into Europe.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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