Thailand: Election Commission Seeks to Dissolve Opposition Party

Thailand: Election Commission Seeks to Dissolve Opposition Party
Image copyright: Lauren DeCicca/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

While the court is typically on the side of the constitutionalists, this time may be different given the result of the court's dissolution of the FFP. The public is growing more in favor of the MFP and Pita, who could very well take charge of the government once the existing Senate term concludes. It's time for the court to consider a more nuanced approach in balancing public criticism with maintaining the monarchy.

Narrative B

While the legal actions being taken against the MFP will undoubtedly impact Thai politics and society, the fact of the matter is that Pita's party has been openly encouraging widespread violations of the Constitution. By campaigning on this issue, the MFP has clearly instigated anger toward the constitutionally protected royal family — an act that puts the monarchy and its government at risk.

Metaculus Prediction


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