Ukraine Alleges Russia Fired Intercontinental Ballistic Missile

Ukraine Alleges Russia Fired Intercontinental Ballistic Missile
Above: Russian troops stand next to truck-mounted Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missiles as they rehearse for the Victory Day parade in Moscow's Red Square in 2008. Image copyright: Verity

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

For the first time in the war, Russia has deployed an intercontinental ballistic missile over Ukraine. This is extremely significant as these weapons are capable of carrying nuclear-capable warheads.

Pro-establishment narrative

The weapon deployed by Russia did not appear to be an intercontinental ballistic missile, but rather a traditional missile with a much shorter range.

Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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