UN Chief Urges Sudan's Paramilitary RSF to End Siege of North Darfur City

UN Chief Urges Sudan's Paramilitary RSF to End Siege of North Darfur City
Above: UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres makes statements to journalists ahead of the "Summit of the Future" and the UN General Assembly week in New York, United States on Sept. 18, 2024. Image copyright: Fatih Aktas/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

These latest developments give hope that the international community is finally about to take action to prevent a worst-case scenario while there's still time before Dagalo's paramilitary Rapid Support Forces commit genocide against non-Arab ethnic groups in al-Fashir. That intent should have long been predicted given that the RSF is essentially the janjaweed militia that did exactly that two decades ago, when a broad coalition came together to stop such atrocities.

Establishment-critical narrative

There's a good reason the talks over Sudan have failed in spite of the dire situation faced by the civilian population. Those involved in the peace process, from the Saudis to the Emiratis to the Americans, have a vested interest in the outcome of the conflict and aren't coming to the table with the purest of intentions. There will be no hope for negotiations unless the UN gets those with a geopolitical interest in the conflict to abstain from these mediations.

Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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