Undersea Power Cable Linking Finland and Estonia Hit by Outage, Finnish PM Says

Undersea Power Cable Linking Finland and Estonia Hit by Outage, Finnish PM Says
Above: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz speaks to reporters after a meeting with Petteri Orpo Prime Minister of Finland on July 14, 2023. Image copyright: Britta Pedersen/dpa/picture alliance via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

After falling out of operation for the majority of 2024, there are many possible explanations for this cable's shutdown. Although the possibility of sabotage has been floated, the world must wait for a thorough analysis and investigation before jumping to any conclusions. Whatever the case, the Finnish prime minister has been clear that his country remains unaffected.

Narrative B

While it's not yet clear whether this damage was even the result of sabotage, Russia (along with other nations) has undoubtedly adopted a 'gig economy' approach to the recruitment of saboteurs in recent months, all with the aim of disrupting, delaying, and degrading its enemies. Sabotage has historically never dealt a decisive blow, but hastened the weakening and decay of key infrastructure, as is the case here.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!