24 Nigerian Schoolgirls Released Over a Week After Abduction
The Spin
Pro-government narrative
Tinubu's decisive leadership delivered results where past governments failed. His direct order for round-the-clock military operations, paired with the strategic deployment of the defense minister to Kebbi, transformed a sluggish security posture into a coordinated four-day offensive that tightened the cordon around the kidnappers, disrupted their logistics, and ultimately compelled the bandits to abandon the schoolgirls and flee into the bush.
Government-critical narrative
Nigeria's decade-old Safe School Initiative remains a spectacular failure despite absorbing millions. More than 1,800 students have been abducted since 2014, and only 528 schools are protected out of an estimated 81,000 at risk. Beyond this broken scheme, years of neglected rural policing, stalled security reforms and porous state borders have created the perfect conditions for mass kidnappings to flourish with almost no deterrence by the Tinubu government.
Metaculus Prediction
Public Figures
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