COVID-19 Surges Across Asia as Hong Kong Hits One-Year High

COVID-19 Surges Across Asia as Hong Kong Hits One-Year High
Above: Pedestrians in Hong Kong, China, on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Image copyright: Paul Yeung/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The current COVID-19 surge shows that the virus remains a significant public health threat requiring immediate attention. The sharp increase in cases, particularly among vulnerable populations, highlights dangerous gulfs in vaccination coverage. Increasingly high positivity rates and rising hospitalizations indicate that relaxed attitudes toward boosters and preventive measures have exposed communities to new waves of infection.

Narrative B

The impact of COVID-19 has significantly diminished compared to previous years, with the vast majority of cases now being mild and manageable. The virus has become endemic, with periodic waves expected as part of the new normal. Despite rising cases, severe outcomes and deaths remain lower than they were previously, suggesting improved population immunity and less dangerous variants.

Metaculus Prediction


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