The Spin
Techno-optimist narrative
Cryptocurrencies promise financial empowerment. Their decentralized blockchains offer secure, transparent, low-fee and near-instant transactions — ideal for cross-border remittances or for people lacking access to traditional banking. They enhance financial inclusion globally, enable peer-to-peer transfers and offer potential hedges against inflation with limited-supply tokens.
Techno-skeptic narrative
Cryptocurrencies carry deep risks: extreme price volatility, frequent scams and hacks, irreversible transactions and minimal regulation. Their energy-intensive mining harms the environment. Many tokens suffer limited acceptance and poor long-term reliability — making crypto a more speculative gamble than a stable currency.
Metaculus Prediction
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