Earths magnetic north pole is on the move, and scientists just updated its position
CNNJAN 18
Earth's Magnetic North Pole Accelerates Drift Towards Siberia
Above: Northern lights, known as aurora, which are impacted by the Earth's magnetic field, are seen during a polar night in winter in Tonsvik, Norway, on Jan. 9, 2025. Image copyright: Beata Zawrzel/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images
The Facts
Scientists released a new World Magnetic Model on Dec. 17, revealing that Earth's magnetic North Pole has moved significantly closer to Siberia than its position five years ago, requiring crucial updates to global navigation systems.
Unlike the fixed geographic North Pole, the magnetic north pole is determined by Earth's magnetic field, which is generated by molten iron flowing in the planet's outer core, causing constant movement and requiring regular updates to maintain accurate GPS measurements.
The magnetic pole's movement has shown unprecedented behavior, accelerating from 9.3 miles (31 km) per year to 34.2 miles (52 km) per year in 1990, then unexpectedly decelerating to 21.7 miles (35 km) per year around 2015 — prompting scientists to release an early model update in 2019.
The Spin
Narrative A
Earth's weakening magnetic field signals a potential geomagnetic reversal, a rare but significant event with global implications. Historical evidence shows pole flips disrupt ecosystems, expose Earth to higher solar radiation, and weaken navigation systems. While uncertain in timing, the magnetic field's decline suggests we're closer to this possibility than previously thought, warranting close attention to long-term trends.
Narrative B
Despite more alarming predictions, the magnetic north pole's recent slowing suggests temporary stabilization rather than an imminent geomagnetic reversal. This slowdown should reduce concerns for immediate impacts on navigation systems like GPS or aviation charts. Short-term trends demonstrate the dynamic but natural variability of Earth's magnetic field — countering alarmist speculation about a near-term pole flip.
Metaculus Prediction
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