Ethiopia and Russia Deepen Bilateral Relations

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Above: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov (R) holds a press conference with Ethiopian Minister of Foreign Affairs Gedion Timotheos (L) in Moscow, Russia, on Oct. 21, 2025. Image copyright: Sefa Karacan/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Ethiopia's strategic partnership with Russia marks a transformative leap toward regional energy leadership and technological advancement. The nuclear power plant agreement positions Ethiopia to strengthen its electricity exports to Kenya, Djibouti and Sudan while driving modernization in artificial intelligence and advanced technologies. With bilateral trade more than doubling and reaching $191.2 million, this strategic cooperation creates a win-win partnership that enhances Ethiopia's role as a continental powerhouse.

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Anti-Russia narrative

Russia's charm offensive in Africa creates dangerous dependencies that strengthen authoritarian regimes while extracting billions in mineral wealth. The Kremlin uses nuclear deals to lock countries into long-term reliance on Russian financing, technology and expertise, all while Russian mercenaries commit human rights abuses and plunder gold mines. This predatory approach prioritizes Moscow's war funding over genuine development, trapping nations in corrupt partnerships that undermine democracy.

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Metaculus Prediction

Public Figures

Sergey Lavrov