EU Deportations Rise, But 1 in 4 Orders Executed

Published OCT 2

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Above: Emergency personnel attend to migrants in the Canary Islands, Spain, on Sept. 15, 2025. Image copyright: Europa Press Canarias/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

The EU is successfully combating irregular migration while protecting its liberal values. Not only have deportations increased, but arrivals have also dropped to 112,000 in the first eight months of 2025 – a 52% decline from 2023 and far below the million-plus level seen in 2015. This stems from effective deterrence through cooperation with transit nations, as well as the post-Assad reductions from Syria.

The Week

Establishment-critical narrative

Years of flooding Europe with millions of migrants has directly caused spikes in crime and social tension. The EU is only now coming to terms with reality. Yet, despite recent drops in arrivals stemming from belated deterrence such as transit aid and Rwanda-style hubs, the bloc still fails to go far enough if it is to effectively protect European sovereignty and security.

The Telegraph European Conservative

Metaculus Prediction

Limited Coverage

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