European Leaders Hold Emergency Summit Ahead of US-Russia Talks

    Above: European leaders at an emergency summit in Paris, Feb. 17, 2025 Image copyright: 10 Downing Street via Politics UK (X)

    The Spin

    Narrative A

    Europe must reject any US-Russia peace deal that excludes European and Ukrainian input. Such negotiations would abandon Ukraine's sovereignty and ignore Europe’s vital role in regional security. As the conflict directly affects European borders, European nations must be involved in shaping the terms of peace.

    Narrative B

    Direct US-Russia peace negotiations are the pragmatic solution. The US has poured billions into Ukraine’s defense and it has the right to prioritize its own interests, focusing on China and the Pacific. Europe’s reluctance to take charge of its own security is not America's burden to bear. A swift peace is necessary for global stability.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    Europe and Ukraine should be excluded from peace talks, as they've proven incapable of genuine negotiation over ideological warmongering. The West’s obsession with defeating Russia has only fueled the conflict, while Europe’s fragmented military and reliance on US defense leave it unable to manage its own security.

    Metaculus Prediction



    The Controversies



    Go Deeper


    Establishment split

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